Tory plan to scrap net zero target threatens UK climate leadership

A pledge by the Conservative party to repeal the UK’s landmark Climate Change Act and abandon the 2050 net-zero emissions target has triggered significant alarm among business leaders, environmental groups, and political opponents. The move, announced by party leader Kemi Badenoch, represents a fundamental break from a long-standing, cross-party consensus on climate policy that has positioned the UK as a global leader in decarbonization for nearly two decades.

The proposal seeks to replace the legally binding framework with a new focus on securing cheap and reliable energy, which the party argues will spur economic growth and relieve financial burdens on households and businesses. However, critics warn that dismantling the established climate targets will create policy uncertainty, deter billions in private investment, and damage the UK’s international standing. The debate places the UK at a critical juncture, forcing a choice between its established climate goals and a new economic strategy centered on deregulation and maximizing fossil fuel extraction.

A Sharp Break from Political Consensus

The 2008 Climate Change Act has been the bedrock of UK climate policy, establishing a legally binding framework to reduce emissions. It was introduced by a Labour government but received enthusiastic, bipartisan support, with the opposition Conservatives under David Cameron successfully tabling amendments to strengthen it. This consensus endured through seven governments, economic crises, and Brexit, providing a stable and predictable policy environment. The initial target of an 80% reduction in emissions from 1990 levels was later strengthened by Conservative Prime Minister Theresa May, who committed the UK to a net-zero target by 2050.

Kemi Badenoch’s announcement that a future Conservative government would repeal this act marks a definitive end to that era of political unity on climate change. She argued that the law has entangled the country in “red tape” and imposed significant costs without meaningfully impacting global emissions. This view has been supported by others who claim that achieving the net-zero target is impossible and that scrapping it could save the country £30 billion a year. This policy shift creates a stark dividing line in British politics, contrasting sharply with Labour’s plan to accelerate the transition and the Liberal Democrats’ continued support for the 2050 goal.

The Economic and Investment Climate

Arguments for Deregulation

The core argument for scrapping the net-zero target is economic. Proponents contend that the regulations required to meet carbon budgets have increased energy bills, hindered the manufacturing sector, and contributed to sluggish economic growth. The Conservative policy prospectus states a desire to end “unfair costs on working people and businesses” by prioritizing cheap and abundant energy. The party plans to achieve this by ending the ban on new oil and gas licenses for North Sea extraction and repealing the Energy Profits Levy to encourage investment in domestic fossil fuel production.

Warnings of Economic Damage

Conversely, numerous business and environmental groups have warned that the move would be economically reckless. They argue that the stable policy environment created by the Climate Change Act has been crucial for attracting private investment into green industries. Rachel Solomon Williams of the Aldersgate Group emphasized that policy clarity is vital for securing these investments. Critics suggest that abandoning the targets would create uncertainty, causing investors to divert capital to countries with more stable green policies. Michael Liebreich, a clean energy analyst, argued that the UK can achieve net zero without harming living standards, highlighting that the volatility of fossil fuel prices has taken a greater toll on the UK economy. Furthermore, research from the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit suggests that climate inaction poses a significant threat to UK food security, potentially putting £8 billion worth of produce at risk.

UK’s Global Standing and Scientific Basis

A key justification offered for the policy shift is that the UK is responsible for only 1% of global emissions, suggesting its national efforts have a limited impact. However, experts note that this figure only accounts for territorial emissions and does not include the carbon footprint of goods and services consumed in the UK but produced elsewhere. The 2050 net-zero target is not arbitrary; it is rooted in scientific consensus from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which advises that global emissions must reach net-zero by mid-century to limit global warming to 1.5–2°C and avoid the most catastrophic impacts of climate change.

For years, the UK has leveraged its climate policies to project global influence, most notably as president of the COP26 climate summit in Glasgow. Scrapping the foundational law underpinning these efforts would significantly undermine its credibility and leadership on the world stage. The move would abandon a framework that has been praised for its effectiveness, managed by the independent Climate Change Committee (CCC), which has provided expert guidance and monitored progress through a series of five-year carbon budgets.

Diverging Visions for UK Energy

The Conservative plan involves not only repealing the Climate Change Act but also scrapping targets for electric car adoption and plans to phase out gas boilers. The party’s declared priority is to maximize domestic energy supply and reduce dependence on foreign sources through renewed North Sea exploration.

This vision stands in stark contrast to the one presented by the Labour Party. Labour has pledged to achieve a completely clean power grid by 2030, driven by what it calls the “biggest investment in clean energy in British history.” Central to its plan is the creation of Great British Energy, a publicly-owned company tasked with accelerating the deployment of offshore wind, solar, nuclear, and carbon capture technologies. Labour argues this transition will create tens of thousands of skilled jobs and insulate the UK from volatile global gas markets. The Liberal Democrats have also aligned with the 2050 net-zero target, supporting the 2030 clean power goal and emphasizing a large-scale program for home insulation and heat pump deployment.

Expert and Public Perspectives

Independent bodies and experts have consistently advised that the transition to net zero is both achievable and economically manageable. The Climate Change Committee (CCC) has reported that a well-managed transition would cost 1% of GDP or less, a figure that does not account for the significant economic costs of inaction. Will Walker at the climate solutions charity Ashden described the proposed rollback as “reckless,” warning it would jeopardize long-term economic health and public support.

Public support for climate action remains strong. A University of Oxford survey found that public concern for climate change is nearly twice as high as policymakers often assume. In the UK, three-quarters of people report being fairly or very concerned about the issue. Furthermore, analysis suggests that achieving net zero could yield direct financial benefits for citizens. Estimates show that four out of five UK households, particularly those who own a car, would be financially better off, with typical annual savings ranging from £100 to £380 per household.

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